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Post by Canary Saint on Mar 5, 2016 17:04:37 GMT
I've done one of those meaningless exercises that footbal fans are so fond of. The following are my predictions for the remaining fixtures. These assume some improvement in form: WSM (H) W H&Y (A) W or D Concorde (A) L or D Eastbourne(H) L or D Hemel(A) W or D Maidstone(H) L Maidenhead(A) L Havant(H) W Wealdstone(A) W or D Dartford(H) L The best case prediction would give City 42 points. The worse case prediction would give City 36 points. In either case we would be relegated as this would have put us in the bottom three over the last three seasons. Lets hope I have got it hopelessly wrong.  |
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Post by casper on Mar 5, 2016 19:52:18 GMT
If we are going to finish in the bottom 3, we need to make sure it's 3rd from bottom. There is always the possibility of a team being saved from relegation via someone elses problems e.g. ground not up to grading, financial problems etc.
This may be clutching at straws but how many times have Weston-super-Mare been saved via the 'AGM Cup' at the end of the season ?
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Post by Hatboy on Mar 5, 2016 21:42:55 GMT
Forest Green use to stay up like that a lot of the time and look at them now !
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Post by St Michael on Mar 5, 2016 23:11:46 GMT
At least Boreham Wood lost again.
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Post by EFMTFTV on Mar 6, 2016 14:21:57 GMT
We need to get 10 points in the next 4 games IMO, wins vs our relegation rivals in WSM, Hayes and then 4 points from 2 teams with hopefully nothing to play for - Eastbourne and Concord, ideally 12 points but as a team that's only won 6 all season then that's probably a bit unrealistic
Then we see where we are, we won 6-0 last week and everyone else also won around us, so I think that saying we need to win xx games can't be predicted.
Whitehawk in freefall could help us for 2 reasons, they may not win another game this season and if the money lot have pulled out then they'd be the most likely team to give the 3rd from bottom side a reprieve by pulling out
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Post by Saint on Mar 6, 2016 14:44:20 GMT
There's also the money issues surrounding Gosport (Despite their play-off position), and Torquay still look like an uneven ship up in the National.
However, 6 points maximum from the next two games at least, then begin to see where we are.
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Post by PaperSaint on Mar 6, 2016 14:47:56 GMT
Correct about Gosport who are rumoured to be about to offload 3 more of their players this week
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Post by PaperSaint on Mar 9, 2016 22:39:53 GMT
For those interested in these things, Football Web Pages have a predictor that is currently sending us down but if you check the scores you will see a big factor is this Saturday. We need to win and they predict a loss... www.footballwebpages.co.uk/natsouth/league/predicted |
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Post by casper on Mar 9, 2016 23:56:00 GMT
Also predicts that Whitehawk will finish on 50 points. Currently they are on 34 points and in freefall. Financial backers have pulled out and attendances are low. Players are leaving, both permanently and on loan, so I wouldn't be surprised if they don't gain any more points this season.
Also rumours that Truro may voluntarily drop down a league if they don't get promoted to Conference National this season. It's down to costs of keeping current ground to league standards and ground sharing costs at Torquay Utd, whilst new ground is completed.
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Post by Hatboy on Mar 12, 2016 18:48:35 GMT
Also predicts that Whitehawk will finish on 50 points. Currently they are on 34 points and in freefall. Financial backers have pulled out and attendances are low. Players are leaving, both permanently and on loan, so I wouldn't be surprised if they don't gain any more points this season. After coming from behind to win 4-2 @ play off chasing Dartford that is of course ! |
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Post by casper on Mar 15, 2016 21:53:30 GMT
Results going our way again tonight :-
Truro 3 Bath City 1
Weston-superMare 1 Maidstone Utd 2
Weston play Maidstone again away on Saturday.
Also Dartford's form seems to be falling away, as they lost 2-1 at Maidenhead.
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Post by Saint on Mar 19, 2016 19:12:02 GMT
From the conference forum:
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Post by PaperSaint on Mar 20, 2016 13:53:28 GMT
From the conference forum: 2 of their players joined Havant last week - both playing in Havant's 2-0 win against Dartford |
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Post by Saint on Mar 21, 2016 23:10:39 GMT
Another post on the Conference South forum:
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Post by casper on Mar 22, 2016 11:23:21 GMT
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Post by PaperSaint on Mar 22, 2016 22:44:51 GMT
If he gets them winning, he's still unlikely to get them out of the bottom 3 but could do us a favour by taking points from Weston - who they are to play twice - and keeping them behind us. |
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Post by casper on Mar 23, 2016 17:14:14 GMT
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Post by Saint on Mar 25, 2016 18:42:27 GMT
Weston, surprisingly, beat Ebssfleet 2-1, and move above us by two points.
However, Bath lost 3-1. A win tomorrow, and we will move level with the Romans, while also leapfrogging Weston, and potentially also going level with Havant depending on their result.
Another crucial must-win game tomorrow, which I'm sure the squad will be ready for.
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Post by Saint on Mar 25, 2016 21:45:06 GMT
Havant defeated Hayes tonight 1-0.
Some real mixed results, win tomorrow and we're only three points behind these two sides. However, of course, we know that it could be a very tough game.
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Post by casper on Mar 27, 2016 19:52:00 GMT
Mon 28/03 fixtures at the bottom of the table :-
Bath City vs Weston-super-Mare
Chelmsford City vs Maidstone Utd
Eastbourne vs Havant & Waterlooville
Gosport Borough vs Basingstoke Town
Hayes & Yeading vs Maidenhead Utd
Hemel vs Saints
Could do with a draw between Bath and Weston, which wouldn't help either side but may help us.
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Post by casper on Mar 28, 2016 16:10:52 GMT
Bath beat Weston 2-1
Hayes & Yeading lost 5-2 at 'home' to Maidenhead.
Chelmsford beat Maidstone 3-0.
Leaves us in 20th place, 3pts behind H&Y with a better goal difference and a game in hand
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Post by Boomer on Mar 28, 2016 16:40:10 GMT
All 3 goals at Bath City scored in added time. WSM's on 90+1 and both Bath goals on 90+4.
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Post by casper on Mar 29, 2016 20:20:30 GMT
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Post by Hatboy on Mar 29, 2016 21:15:12 GMT
Also predicts that Whitehawk will finish on 50 points. Currently they are on 34 points and in freefall. Financial backers have pulled out and attendances are low. Players are leaving, both permanently and on loan, so I wouldn't be surprised if they don't gain any more points this season. They currently have 45 points  |
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Post by davymac55 on Mar 30, 2016 8:15:43 GMT
Even after we beat them 6-0 I thought that Whitehawk had too many winnable games in hand plus they had points on the board.
When our Hemel game is rescheduled will be interesting as all our games are winnable but commitments may come into play with our squad. We could need a minimum of 3 wins or 8 points but may need as many as 10 to be safe. Rollercoaster end to season,again!!! Vital we stay in this league though.
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Post by Saint on Mar 30, 2016 10:41:49 GMT
Hemel game has been rearranged for Tuesday 12th April, 7:45pm KO.
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Post by casper on Apr 3, 2016 19:49:30 GMT
These are the remaining fixtures for the current bottom 7 teams in the league.
Weston have 2 games against Basingstoke this week, so could be 6 points better off by 5pm on Saturday.
Final day of the season sees Bath v Margate and Havant v Weston.
Margate
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Sat 9th Apr H Sutton United
Sat 16th Apr A Bishop's Stortford
Sat 23rd Apr H Hemel Hempstead Town
Sat 30th Apr A Bath City
Havant & Waterlooville
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Tue 5th Apr H Chelmsford City
Sat 9th Apr H Truro City
Sat 16th Apr A St Albans City
Sat 23rd Apr A Concord Rangers
Sat 30th Apr H Weston-super-Mare
Bath City
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Sat 9th Apr A Concord Rangers
Sat 16th Apr H Eastbourne Borough
Tue 19th Apr H Whitehawk
Sat 23rd Apr A Hayes & Yeading United
Sat 30th Apr H Margate
Hayes & Yeading
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Sat 9th Apr A Oxford City
Sat 16th Apr H Concord Rangers
Sat 23rd Apr H Bath City
Sat 30th Apr A Gosport Borough
Weston-super-Mare
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Tue 5th Apr H Basingstoke Town
Sat 9th Apr A Basingstoke Town
Tue 12th Apr A Truro City
Sat 16th Apr H Whitehawk
Sat 23rd Apr H Maidenhead United
Sat 30th Apr A Havant & Waterlooville
St Albans City
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Sat 9th Apr A Maidenhead United
Tue 12th Apr A Hemel Hempstead Town
Sat 16th Apr H Havant & Waterlooville
Sat 23rd Apr A Wealdstone
Sat 30th Apr H Dartford
Basingstoke Town
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Tue 5th Apr A Weston-super-Mare
Sat 9th Apr H Weston-super-Mare
Tue 12th Apr A Gosport Borough
Sat 16th Apr A Dartford
Sat 23rd Apr H Truro City
Sat 30th Apr A Chelmsford City
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Post by casper on Apr 5, 2016 19:50:08 GMT
At half time in tonights games
Havant 0 Chelmsford 1
Weston 0 Basingstoke 0
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Post by PaperSaint on Apr 5, 2016 20:12:05 GMT
Weston 1 Basingstoke 1
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Post by Saint on Apr 5, 2016 20:31:04 GMT
Weston 2-1 up, Havant 1-0 down.
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